A 2-0 move in Bangladesh placed South Africa in advance of Australia and India in the race for a berth in the 2023-25 World Test Championship final.
South Africa adhered to a seven-wicket win at Mirpur with an also bigger one at Chattogram, by an innings and 273 runs. This was their initial collection win in Bangladesh given that 2007-08, and the initial by any type of “SENA” group in the nation given that England in 2009-10. With a PCT of 54.17, South Africa are currently 4th on the organization table, after India (62.82 ), Australia (62.50 ), and Sri Lanka (55.56 ).
| Team | Matches | Won | Lost | Drawn | Points deducted | Points | PCT |
| India | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 98 | 62.82 |
| Australia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 90 | 62.50 |
| Sri Lanka | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 55.56 |
| South Africa | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 54.17 |
| New Zealand | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 50.00 |
| England | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 93 | 40.79 |
| Pakistan | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 33.33 |
| Bangladesh | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 27.50 |
| West Indies | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 18.52 |
Since South Africa have actually played less Tests (8) than India (13) and Australia (12 ), their PCT is a lot more delicate than the leading 2. In various other words, a win will certainly aid their PCT rise at a quicker price than it will certainly for India or Australia– and also a little quicker than Sri Lanka.
South Africa’s continuing to be Test suits
v Sri Lanka: 2 in your home (November 27-December 1 and December 5-9, 2024)
v Pakistan: 2 in your home (December 26-30, 2024 and January 3-7, 2025)
What do South Africa require to do for a final berth?
If South Africa win all 4 Test suits, they will certainly acquire a PCT of 69.44 and cruise ship right into the final. But what happens if they win 3 out of 4? In that situation, they will certainly get to 61.11— still great however not as unyielding.
To make points as hard as feasible for South Africa, allow us provide India a win in the Mumbai Test suit versus New Zealand and Australia the collection in Sri Lanka 2-0. That will certainly take India to 65.48 and Australia to 67.86— however we still have the five-match Border-Gavaskar Trophy to emulate.
If India win that collection 3-2, they will certainly increase to 64.04 however Australia will certainly go down to 60.53 If Australia win 3-2, they will certainly completed with 65.79 and India with 58.77 A 2-2 draw will certainly maintain Australia to 62.28 and India to 60.53 If either side wins the collection by bigger margins, the lower-placed of the side will certainly complete additionally far from South Africa.
Thus, also if South Africa win 3 of their continuing to be 4 Tests, they are assured to complete above a minimum of among India andAustralia However, that will certainly not assure them a berth in the final.
What are the stumbling blocks for South Africa?
We have actually provided the Mumbai Test to India in the past. However, if New Zealand win that Test and move England 3-0 in your home, they will certainly rise to 64.29 As we have actually seen, all Australia require to complete over South Africa ( 61.11) is a 2-2 draw versus India (or much better). Even India can make it with a 3-0 win (or much better).
Sri Lanka remain in the game too if they win 3 of their continuing to be 4Tests These consist of 2 versus Australia in your home: allow us provide that 2-0. The various other 2 remain in South Africa: given that we have actually provided South Africa 3 victories, that collection needs to complete 1-1 for the formula.
That will certainly leave New Zealand at 64.29, Sri Lanka at 61.54, and South Africa at 61.11
In various other words, 3 victories in 4 home Tests will certainly aid South Africa coating over a minimum of among Australia and India– however not assure them a berth in the final. Even after that, they are positioned much better than India and Australia, and if they do win their 3 Tests, not certifying will certainly be a plain mathematical opportunity.
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